Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 15.769680 17.880882 20.118310 22.660745 25.464096 28.455195 31.882334
2025-01-05 12.485873 15.343522 18.570437 22.463265 27.009957 32.129755 38.307153
2025-01-12 9.669217 12.831854 16.623232 21.455771 27.399811 34.417977 43.271913
2025-01-19 7.560456 10.808034 14.929807 20.460281 27.592055 36.377781 47.905202
2025-01-26 6.647593 10.140080 14.795918 21.319716 30.068418 41.225321 56.332275
2025-02-02 6.247143 10.083911 15.420026 23.176820 33.924526 48.026332 67.616086
2025-02-09 5.659063 9.662982 15.468418 24.212993 36.713267 53.560697 77.530611
2025-02-16 4.927264 8.913338 14.942613 24.353188 38.225867 57.418584 85.362448
2025-02-23 4.181098 8.025269 14.095018 23.911650 38.828748 59.999475 91.517312
2025-03-02 3.593621 7.305345 13.412123 23.625701 39.590949 62.787944 98.031676
2025-03-09 3.170140 6.801051 13.007296 23.710799 40.874784 66.343351 105.742783
2025-03-16 2.754741 6.246061 12.449755 23.483280 41.630233 69.119011 112.397879
2025-03-23 2.581886 6.137251 12.665271 24.577713 44.584269 75.406592 124.632634
2025-03-30 2.301680 5.773816 12.389269 24.811985 46.162759 79.670522 134.024358
2025-04-06 1.923794 5.143641 11.549886 23.984180 45.925553 81.088938 139.133810
2025-04-13 1.592126 4.549577 10.701922 23.050591 45.423867 82.032351 143.511597
2025-04-20 1.507148 4.503720 10.924931 24.100181 48.384354 88.655808 157.036809
2025-04-27 1.528591 4.715629 11.689492 26.221191 53.327476 98.698156 176.326034
2025-05-04 1.459971 4.693703 11.962878 27.411069 56.666780 106.212094 191.797301
2025-05-11 1.313762 4.447846 11.732484 27.592664 58.188680 110.744766 202.584625
2025-05-18 1.136360 4.083391 11.198971 27.118728 58.469055 113.174426 209.993334
2025-05-25 0.992907 3.781988 10.768435 26.810931 59.024675 116.073015 218.244826
2025-06-01 0.891848 3.581779 10.546116 26.911378 60.342116 120.315722 228.843165